Reviews

TheActuary_block

“Using a combination of simulations, past experience and expert opinion, the book sets out predictions for how key economic and other variables are likely to develop over the next four decades. Central to the forecasts are the evolution of GDP and population.” Read more

Source

The Actuary

Date

 June, 2014

Author

Eleanor Beamond-Pepler

GlobalTimeslogo

“Randers’s ideas most closely resemble a World3 scenario in which energy efficiency and renewable energy stave off the worst effects of climate change until after 2050. For the coming few decades, Randers predicts, life on Earth will carry on more or less as before. Wealthy economies will continue to grow, albeit more slowly as investment will need to be diverted to deal with resource constraints and environmental problems, which thereby will leave less capital for creating goods for consumption.” Read more

Source

Global Times

Date

 May 15, 2012

Author

Wang Wenwen

Scientific-American

The new book 2052, divides the world into five regions: namely the US; the OECD countries outside the US (EU, Japan, Canada and the rest of the industrialized world); China; Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa and 10 other big emerging economies; an finally those at the bottom of the income ladder. A forecast is made for the development of each of the five regions from 2012 to 2052. Over this period the surprising looser will be the US, while China will be the winner. Read more

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Scientific American

Date

May 23, 2012

Author

Madhusree Mukerjee

crosslands buletin

The author works hard to satisfy our curiosity. As hopeless as it might seem, who can ever resist the chance to peek around the corner? Randers gathers short essays from 34 colleagues and scientists, and he sprinkles them through the chapters of the book. They provide variegated and provocative glimpses into the future. After each entry, Randers tells how well the opinions fit his own forecast and views. There is certainly plenty here to mull over. Read more

Source

Crosslands Bulletin on Business, Law and Environment

Date

May, 30, 2012

Author

Crosslands Bulletin on Business, Law and Environment

new scientist

In this follow-up book, 2052: A global forecast for the next 40 years Randers makes predictions based on current data, simpler calculations and a lifetime’s experience analysing global systems. Interestingly – and plausibly – he doesn’t anticipate global apocalypse, but instead a slow, sad decline, in which pockets of collapse and misery develop while business largely as usual carries on around them. Overall he sees a poorer, less democratic world as resources run out and more must be spent simply to keep overstretched systems running – echoes of other theorists of collapse such as Joseph Tainter. Read more

Source

New Scientist

Date

May, 31, 2012

Author

Deborah Mackenzie

growth busters

So, in this report to the Club of Rome on the 40th anniversary of The Limits to Growth, Randers attempts to forecast what the next 40 years are likely to bring. Yes, this is a forecast, unlike the scenarios of the original Limits to Growth study. Randers goes out on a limb to actually offer a picture of what he thinks our future holds. He readily admits this is dangerous territory, but bravely shares his educated guesses. He explains how our lives will be affected by five central issues: capitalism, economic growth, democracy, intergenerational equity, and climate. Read more

Source

Growthbusters

Date

June 13, 2012

Author

Dave Gardner

Publishers Weekly

And open and informed conversation seems crucial to Randers’s project—indeed, he posits that unchecked climate change is not a technological problem, but a political one. Randers and his colleagues present a portrait of the future that is radically different from today, but not entirely bleak: while he believes that the worst of his predictions are possible, he humbly asks his readers to “help make my forecast wrong”. Read more

Source

Publishers Weekly

Date

July 2, 2012

Author

Publishers Weekly

Jonathan Porritt

It provides an extraordinarily comprehensive survey of every aspect of sustainable development – economic, social, environmental and political – that you can imagine. It’s particularly strong on the economic stuff, as befits a systems modeller and life-long commentator on what he (still) sees as an all but irreconcilable disconnect between the overall shape and astonishing dynamism of consumer-driven capitalism, and the need to create wealth and improve human wellbeing within the Earth’s bio-physical limits. Read more

Source

Jonathon Porritt

Date

September 2012

Author

Jonathon Porritt

japan spotlight

The report presents a gloomy picture of various aspects of human civilization in 2052 if decisive, unanimous and full-scale worldwide action involving all nations is not taken, and thus constitutes a more serious warning to the world than The Limits to Growth. First, it predicts that the global population will peak at 8.1 billion people just after 2040 and then decline due to a dramatic fall in fertility among an increasingly urbanized population. Read more

Source

Japan Spotlight

Date

 October 2012

Author

Naoyuki Haraoka

Michael Marien

This 40-year forecast is very useful and highly provocative. It is particularly useful for pointing to the necessary rise of social investment in response to global warming that will displace some consumption. The 21 pieces of advice for individuals and organizations are especially thought-provoking. A close reading is strongly advised for anyone concerned about world futures and the turbulent decades ahead, although everyone will surely find some points of disagreement. Read more

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Michael Marien

Date

October 6, 2012

Author

Michael Marien

CSR International

2052 is a bold declaration on the likely state of the world one generation from now, by veteran trend-tracker and future-modeller Jørgen Randers. In this book, almost uniquely, a highly respected scientist has nailed his colours to the mast and said not what should happen, or what he would like to happen, or even what might happen, but rather what he thinks will happen – in our lifetimes. The book picks up where the controversial series of Limits to Growth reports for the Club of Rome left off. Read more

Source

CSR International

Date

October, 31, 2012

Author

Wayne Visser

andersen david

While this book is written for an informed lay audience, it brings together a comprehensive compendium of data and opinion that can challenge advanced students and scholars. This book is ideal because it can be read on so many levels ranging from informed citizen to global climate-change expert. Randers is an internationally acclaimed author and this book is another linguistically clear and superior example of why he has attained this international reputation. Read more

Source

David Andersen

Date

November 5, 2012

Author

David Andersen

Climalteranti.it

“2052”, ritorno al (grigio) futuro

Un nuovo meditato scenario di Jørgen Randers sul futuro che ci aspetta se i decisori non decidono e prevale l’inerzia. Mentre l’IPCC analizza, commenta e riassume tutte le posizioni espresse su riviste scientifiche e assimilabili, necessariamente giungendo a posizioni intermedie di consenso, singoli esperti, basandosi sulla loro storia, possono proporre scenari che ritengono a loro avviso i più probabili. Read more

Source

Climalteranti.it

Date

October, 14, 2013

Author

Valentino Piana